Chronulus AI

Exposes forecasting and prediction capabilities through the Model Context Protocol (MCP), enabling LLM agents to invoke statistical and ML-based time-series models (ARIMA, exponential smoothing, neural networks) without direct API calls. The MCP server acts as a bridge between Claude/other LLMs and underlying forecasting engines, handling schema validation, parameter marshaling, and result serialization through standardized MCP tool definitions.

Abstracts multiple forecasting algorithms (ARIMA, exponential smoothing, Prophet, neural networks) behind a unified interface, allowing agents to request predictions without specifying the underlying model. The system likely implements model selection logic (based on data characteristics, error metrics, or user hints) and may ensemble multiple models for improved robustness. Handles model initialization, training on historical data, and prediction generation with configurable parameters.

Enables agents to iteratively improve forecasts by providing feedback, adjusting parameters, or triggering model retraining with new data. The system tracks forecast accuracy over time, allows agents to request alternative models or parameter configurations, and supports incremental retraining workflows where new observations are incorporated into the model without full recomputation. Implements feedback loops where agent-observed outcomes inform future forecast adjustments.

Parses forecasting model outputs into structured, validated formats that agents can reliably consume. Implements schema validation to ensure forecasts conform to expected types (point estimates, confidence intervals, quantiles), handles edge cases (NaN, infinite values, out-of-range predictions), and provides metadata about forecast quality (model used, training data size, confidence level). Enables agents to programmatically reason about forecast reliability and make decisions based on prediction uncertainty.

Exposes forecasting model internals (feature importance, trend/seasonality decomposition, residual analysis) as agent-callable tools, enabling agents to understand why predictions were made and diagnose forecast quality. Implements model-agnostic explanation techniques (SHAP, LIME for neural models; coefficient inspection for statistical models) and provides time-series-specific diagnostics (autocorrelation of residuals, stationarity tests, seasonality strength). Allows agents to request detailed explanations for specific forecasts or model behavior.

Supports forecasting across multiple time horizons (short-term, medium-term, long-term) and conditional scenarios (e.g., 'forecast under 20% demand increase'). Implements scenario branching where agents can request forecasts under different assumptions or constraints, and aggregates multi-horizon predictions into coherent narratives. Handles horizon-specific model selection (e.g., ARIMA for short-term, structural models for long-term) and manages forecast degradation as horizon extends.

Integrates with streaming data sources (APIs, message queues, databases) to continuously update forecasting models with new observations. Implements incremental model updates that incorporate new data without full retraining, handles out-of-order or delayed data, and maintains forecast freshness as new information arrives. Allows agents to trigger forecasts on-demand with the latest available data, and supports windowed or sliding-window model updates for computational efficiency.

Provides agents with tools to compare forecasts from different models, evaluate model performance on historical data (backtesting), and select optimal models based on custom metrics. Implements cross-validation, walk-forward validation, and other evaluation techniques that agents can invoke to assess forecast quality. Allows agents to define custom evaluation metrics and request model comparisons based on specific criteria (e.g., 'minimize worst-case error', 'maximize precision for peaks').